{"id":764,"date":"2024-11-25T18:17:48","date_gmt":"2024-11-25T15:17:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mongolianews.mn\/?p=764"},"modified":"2024-11-25T18:17:48","modified_gmt":"2024-11-25T15:17:48","slug":"method-or-madness-why-has-joe-biden-authorized-ukraine-to-fire-long-range-missiles-deep-inside-russia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mongolianews.mn\/?p=764","title":{"rendered":"Method or madness: Why has Joe Biden authorized Ukraine to fire long-range missiles deep inside Russia?"},"content":{"rendered":"

The US president\u2019s move marks a new escalation with some warning of a potential Cuban Missile style crisis<\/strong><\/p>\n

US President Joe Biden\u2019s authorization for Ukraine to use Western long-range missiles on \u2018old\u2019 Russian territory is perhaps the most serious episode of escalation in the two and a half years of the Ukraine conflict.<\/p>\n

While the battlefield has yet to fully reflect these changes, the rhetoric has already reached unprecedented levels: Moscow immediately brandished the \u2018nuclear card\u2019. Meanwhile, the conservative wing in the West accuses Biden of trying to spark World War III, while liberals seem to tentatively approve, though with uncertainty. Only one person appears completely satisfied \u2013Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky. He is behaving as if victory is assured, though in reality, there is little to celebrate.<\/p>\n

There are real doubts about whether Biden\u2019s move will significantly impact the war\u2019s trajectory.<\/p>\n

Even the US president\u2019s own advisers admit that what Ukraine truly needs is soldiers, not more advanced weapons systems. The \u201cwunderwaffen\u201d<\/em> provided so far have not been particularly effective.<\/p>\n

\n Read more<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n \"U.S.
Has America lost its mind or will Trump get it right this time?<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Since 2023, Ukraine has used Storm Shadow\/SCALP systems and, since spring 2024, ATACMS. However, attacks on Russian military installations in Crimea and other new territories have yielded few tangible results. The exact number of missiles Ukraine has left is unclear, but estimates suggest only a limited stock. The Times reported fewer than 50 ATACMS, and The Telegraph described the number of Storm Shadow\/SCALPs as \u201crelatively few,\u201d<\/em> likely around 100.<\/p>\n

With reserves running low, the question remains: What impact can these missiles have? If Ukraine launches a few large strikes and then faces shortages, is it worth the risk, especially given Moscow\u2019s increasingly proactive response and the potential for major retaliation? The answer is no.<\/p>\n

If we consider the situation from a military standpoint, the West\u2019s decision appears reckless and illogical. This marks a radical departure from Biden\u2019s traditionally cautious approach, suggesting a political, rather than military, calculation behind the move.<\/p>\n

There is widespread belief in both Russia and the West that Biden is trying to undermine President-elect Donald Trump\u2019s plans to broker talks between Moscow and Kiev once he returns to power. The idea is that Putin, fearing reputational damage, will escalate the conflict further to placate Russian hawks, forcing Trump to continue supporting Ukraine to avoid being labeled a \u201closer\u201d<\/em> who abandoned US interests.<\/p>\n

However, this strategy could backfire. What happens if the American public\u2019s resentment towards the outgoing administration\u2019s actions, which is already building, becomes overwhelming? If so, Trump would gain a compelling reason to end US involvement in Ukraine. He would then shift from \u201closer\u201d<\/em> to hero \u2013 someone who prevented World War III. Biden and his allies in the Democratic Party are unlikely to want to strengthen Trump in this way.<\/p>\n

The West knows that, given its current state, Ukraine will eventually come to the negotiating table. Trump\u2019s arrival won\u2019t change this \u2013 it will likely only accelerate the peace process.<\/p>\n

\n Read more<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n \"U.S.
Biden\u2019s last gamble: Is Washington trying to start World War III?<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/blockquote>\n

In this scenario, Biden\u2019s actions \u2013 arming Ukraine in the final months of his presidency \u2013 don\u2019t seem so irrational. The goal isn\u2019t escalation for a breakthrough, but simply to buy time so that Kiev is in a stronger position when negotiations begin. It\u2019s about maintaining enough of a hold, particularly in parts of Kursk Region, as leverage. Ukrainian forces may even risk further border incursions.<\/p>\n

Politically, Biden\u2019s decision is relatively safe. It won\u2019t affect the elections \u2013 his party has already lost in a landslide. The looming prospect of a peace deal could prevent the Kremlin from reacting too harshly. At least, that\u2019s what the White House hopes. No one knows for sure except Biden and his inner circle.<\/p>\n

How will Russia respond? Since this provocation is political, we can expect a political response. We\u2019ve already seen part of it: a tougher nuclear stance. The second component is the launch of the new Oreshnik hypersonic missile, reported last week. This serves as a show of force. Some might argue that the \u201cred lines\u201d<\/em> have lost their relevance, but as far as I\u2019m concerned, it\u2019s enough to cool down the hotheads in the West. For now, that\u2019s all that\u2019s needed.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

This article was first published by the online newspaper\u00a0Gazeta.ru<\/a> and was translated and edited by the RT team<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The US president\u2019s move marks a new escalation with some warning of a potential Cuban Missile style crisis US President Joe Biden\u2019s authorization for Ukraine to use Western long-range missiles…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":765,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-764","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t