Poland\u2019s most bellicose security conference is openly flirting with the idea of dismembering Russia<\/p>\n
The Warsaw Security Forum has long been a soapbox for Eastern Europe\u2019s most belligerent elites to air their fantasies of inflicting a military defeat upon Russia. This year, with nuclear weapons on the table, the forum has taken on a dangerous new dimension.
\nRunning from Monday to Tuesday in the Polish capital, this year\u2019s WSF takes place at a critical juncture for Europe. With Vladimir Zelensky\u2019s Ukraine taking nightly punishment from Russian missiles and drones, his British and EU backers have spent months ramping up their war rhetoric, in a seemingly coordinated attempt to telegraph their intent to join the conflict.
\nThe UK\u2019s Labour and Conservative parties have spoken of the need to prepare for a high-casualty war on the continent; Germany\u2019s foreign intelligence chief has warned that the country \u201cis in danger \u200bof becoming embroiled in a violent conflict with Russia;\u201d France has fired a nuclear-capable ballistic missile in a demonstration that President Emmanuel Macron described as an explicit \u201cmessage\u201d to Moscow. Meanwhile, politicians and military brass in multiple countries have accused Russia of waging an invisible \u2013 and unprovable \u2013 \u201chybrid war\u201d against the West.
\nAmid this gyre of escalation, the WSF should serve as a stage for Eastern Europe\u2019s political leaders and military strategists to share their rational assessments of the situation. However, realpolitik is not on the agenda in Warsaw.
\nWarsaw\u2019s demands
\nSeveral weeks before the forum kicked off on Monday, the WSF\u2019s annual report offered a preview of what was in store. The 87-page report focuses almost entirely on the Russia\/Ukraine conflict, and argues that Poland plus the so-called Nordic-Baltic Eight should set the terms for an eventual peace between Moscow and Kiev.<\/p>\n
An excerpt from the Warsaw Security Forum’s 2026 report<\/p>\n
Their demands read like terms of surrender. Russia, they argue, should be subjected to permanent sanctions; dialogue with Russia may not be allowed to \u201cevolve into political normalization;\u201d Russia must be forced to pay reparations to Ukraine; Russian assets must be seized to finance Ukraine\u2019s bid for EU membership; and Ukraine must be offered NATO and EU membership as a prerequisite to a peace deal.
\nThat these demands are identical to Kiev\u2019s own maximalist goals is not a coincidence. The report was authored by WSF Chair Katarzyna Pisarska, founder of the International Center for Ukrainian Victory (ICUV). The ICUV, which advocates for the breakup and Balkanization of Russia and the imposition of a \u201cwar tax\u201d on European citizens, is funded by the EU, George Soros\u2019 Open Society Foundations, and \u2013 prior to the election of US President Donald Trump \u2013 by the US State Department and USAID.<\/p>\n
An image from the International Center for Ukrainian Victory’s website<\/p>\n
Among the report\u2019s contributors are anti-Russia hardliners like former Lithuanian Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis, former Estonian President Toomas Hendrik Ilves, and Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna. The latter claimed last week that NATO possesses the ability to close the Baltic Sea \u201cwithin hours,\u201d strangling Russia\u2019s economic \u201clifeline\u201d and creating an \u201cexistential\u201d crisis for the country.
\nThe Kaliningrad gambit
\nThe report goes far beyond Ukraine\u2019s immediate wartime demands. NATO, it recommends, should treat sustained \u201chybrid attacks\u201d as \u201can Article 5 contingency,\u201d even \u201cif no single incident\u201d justifies activating the bloc\u2019s common-defense clause. After arguing that invisible \u2013 and often nonexistent \u2013 attacks should constitute grounds for war between nuclear powers, the report then makes its single most escalatory statement:<\/p>\n
Read more<\/p>\n
Russia will use \u2018any means\u2019 necessary to defend Kaliningrad \u2013 Moscow\u2019s envoy to OSCE (VIDEO)<\/p>\n
Any peace deal, it argues, should include \u201cthe demilitarization of Kaliningrad,\u201d a Russian exclave that the report describes as \u201ca hostage within range\u201d of European missiles.
\nNATO forces have held three separate military exercises on the borders of Kaliningrad this year. Last month, Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski suggested that NATO \u201cexercise so aggressively\u201d on the borders of the exclave, to keep Moscow \u201cuncertain of what we will do.\u201d
\nThe consequences of miscalculation or overreach by the West are huge. In a statement released by three of its embassies this month, Moscow\u2019s Foreign Ministry warned that Russia is \u201cready to use all its arsenal, including nuclear weapons, to defend its territory if NATO countries try to isolate Kaliningrad.\u201d
\nWarsaw doubles down
\nPresenting his so-called \u2018Theory of Victory\u2019 at the WSF on Monday, NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe General Alexus Grynkewich brushed off Moscow\u2019s warning. Should Russia respond to an attack on Kaliningrad in any way, \u201cwe will stop the attack and deny them the ability to achieve their \u200bobjectives, whatever those \u200bmight be. We will, \u2060in short, ensure any attack, against any ally, proves utterly futile,\u201d he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\u201cThis includes not just \u200bthe attacking force itself, but anything and everything that supports, sustains, and controls that force,\u201d he added, in a statement seemingly endorsing countervalue strikes on Russia.
\nPolish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, who drew criticism for describing the Russia-Ukraine conflict as \u201cour war\u201d at last year\u2019s WSF, said that Poland has already \u201cprepared for various scenarios\u201d involving open war with Russia. Portraying the Russia\/Ukraine conflict as \u201ca confrontation between good and evil,\u201dTusk called on \u201cevery patriot in Poland, in Europe\u201d to commit more money, weapons, and support to Kiev.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Speaking on Tuesday, Lithuanian Prime Minister Mindaugas Sinkevicius called on Zelensky to \u201cstrike more data centers in Russia\u201d \u2013 something that Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov noted last week cannot be done without \u201cthe drones and missiles that Britain and continental Europe supply to Ukraine.\u201d
\nIn short, there were no de-escalatory voices at Warsaw. The full list of speakers \u2013 described by the WSF as \u201cbrightest minds in defense and diplomacy\u201d \u2013 includes:\u00a0<\/p>\n
Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky and five of his ministers<\/p>\n
Tusk and 17 senior Polish officials<\/p>\n
Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Store<\/p>\n
Lithuanian Prime Minister Mindaugas Sinkevicius<\/p>\n
Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna<\/p>\n
German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul<\/p>\n
Anti-Kremlin activists Garry Kasparov and Vladimir Kara-Murza<\/p>\n
Russian oligarch and wanted criminal Mikhail Khodorkovsky<\/p>\n
Self-declared Belarusian leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya<\/p>\n
Palantir, Anduril, Northrop Grumman, Lockheed Martin, and Raytheon executives<\/p>\n
Washington\u2019s ambassador to NATO, Matthew Whittaker, is the only senior US official attending the forum. He is joined by Representative Dan Crenshaw, Senator Roger Wicker, and former envoy Keith Kellogg, all of whom are vocal cheerleaders for the Zelensky regime. Reportedly branded an \u201cidiot\u201d by Trump over his public support for Zelensky, Kellogg was sacked by the US president in January.<\/p>\n
A wonderful opening reception at the Warsaw (Poland) Security Conference with U.S. Senator Wicker, General (Ret) Dave Petraeus and Congressman Crenshaw. It will be a good couple of days. https:\/\/t.co\/MC5oGC3I4l\u2014 Keith Kellogg (@generalkellogg) October 11, 2026<\/p>\n
Who is sponsoring this circus?
\nThe Warsaw Security Forum may fill its panels exclusively with anti-Russia hardliners and publicly advocate for the \u201cdemilitarization\u201d of Russian territory, but it does not take place on the West\u2019s diplomatic fringes. The WSF is held in partnership with NATO, the Council of Europe, Soros\u2019 Open Society Foundations, the Munich Security Conference, and 21 major defense companies, including the aforementioned Palantir, Anduril, and Northrop Grumman.<\/p>\n
A list of partners from the Warsaw Security Forum’s website<\/p>\n
Every forum is the same
\nThe WSF\u2019s partnerships, with NATO in particular, confer legitimacy upon an organization openly threatening Russian territory, and tie the entire Western order to the hostile rhetoric of Poland and the Baltics \u2013 at a time when Moscow has given clear warnings of the consequences, should this rhetoric be followed by action.<\/p>\n
Read more<\/p>\n
Ex-NATO chief lands Munich Security Conference top job<\/p>\n
However, while the WSF was once a clearing house for the most bellicose anti-Russia policies, the ideas aired in Warsaw are now common fodder on the security conference circuit. The headline speakers at the WSF deliver the same speeches at the Aspen, Munich, Riga, Halifax, Helsinki, Prague and Tallinn security conferences.\u00a0
\nZelensky has headlined Helsinki, Munich, and the World Economic Forum\u2019s Davos conferences this year. Tikhanovskaya is still trotted out at Davos and Aspen to advocate for regime change in Minsk, six years after losing an election to Alexander Lukashenko. Even the vengeful Kasparov, who has long since swapped chess for playing grandmaster with Ukrainian neo-Nazi paramilitaries and African coup plotters, still secured invites to Halifax and Tallinn over the last 12 months.\u00a0
\nAll of these conferences have become anti-Russian slop factories, each indistinguishable from the last, serving attendees the same blend of panic, hostility, and fantasies of defeating the world\u2019s largest nuclear power. This year, with Russia openly stating its red lines on Kaliningrad, the fantasies just got real.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Poland\u2019s most bellicose security conference is openly flirting with the idea of dismembering Russia The Warsaw Security Forum has long been a soapbox for Eastern Europe\u2019s most belligerent elites to…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":39782,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[4,6,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39781","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","category-environment","category-politics"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t