The \u2018global majority\u2019 is rewriting the rules of diplomacy \u2013 and the West\u2019s monopoly on power is over<\/p>\n
In economics and sociology, there\u2019s a well-known observation called the Pareto Principle. Named after the Franco-Italian thinker Vilfredo Pareto, it is often summarized as the \u201c80\/20 rule\u201d: 20 percent of efforts yield 80 percent of results, while the remaining 80 percent of efforts account for just 20 percent. Over time, this idea inspired Western \u201celite theory,\u201d a convenient justification for why every society contains an active minority that dominates a passive majority \u2013 why 20 percent of the population holds 80 percent of the wealth.
\nToday, the principle has outgrown national borders. In diplomacy, it has come to symbolize a deeper conflict: the \u201cglobal minority\u201d versus the \u201cglobal majority.\u201d
\nThe first group, sometimes called the \u201cgolden billion,\u201d began to take shape in the late 20th and early 21st centuries under the Democratic administrations in the United States and their allies in the G7 and NATO. This group gradually solidified its position through exploiting globalization in their favor. In contrast, the latter group, resisting the formation of a unipolar world and advocating for a more equitable multipolar global order, has gained increasing significance on the world stage. This momentum has been fueled not only by the individual efforts of nations like Russia, China, and India but also through the establishment of fundamentally new institutions for multilateral diplomacy such as BRICS, the SCO, and others.\u00a0
\nAchieving significant progress in diminishing the hegemony of the collective West, evidenced by the SCO+ summit in Tianjin (August 31 – September 1, 2025) which became the largest in the organization\u2019s history, and the second BRICS summit during Brazil\u2019s presidency this year (September 8, 2025), the nations of the \u2018global majority\u2019 have effectively reversed the Pareto principle. Today, these countries not only occupy most of the earth\u2019s land and constitute the majority of the world\u2019s population but they also account for the majority of the world\u2019s GDP. Leveraging their vast reserves of essential resources and consistently demonstrating robust economic growth, these nations have achieved remarkable success by overcoming internal divisions and consolidating power with the support of their populations.\u00a0<\/p>\n
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America\u2019s allies may soon have to fend for themselves<\/p>\n
In stark contrast, the countries of the \u201cglobal minority\u201d are witnessing an opposite trend. As they lose their leading positions in the global economy and access to key natural resources, political fragmentation is becoming prevalent. In many of these nations, an active minority with low trust ratings clings to power.
\nThis has resulted in deepening societal divides in numerous countries \u2013 from the US, UK, and France to Poland and Israel \u2013 and a clear paralysis of government authority. For instance, in the US, the Democrats, who are rapidly losing ground, are resorting to increasingly radical political tactics.
\nFollowing an assassination attempt on Donald Trump during his presidential campaign, supporters of the Democratic Party were implicated in the murder of young Republican Charlie Kirk (September 10, 2025).
\nThis incident, coupled with a worsening illegal immigration crisis, led thousands of protesters to take to the streets of London last weekend under the banner \u201cUnite the Kingdom.\u201d Criticism has not only targeted the ruling Labour Party and its leader Keir Starmer \u2013 whose approval ratings are the lowest among post-WWII prime ministers \u2013 but also the \u201cshadow government\u201d \u2013 the Conservative Party, which has gradually lost power with each new leader from Theresa May and Boris Johnson to Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak.
\nIn this context, the state visit of US President Donald Trump to the UK on September 16-17 could further complicate the already murky political prospects of the current British leadership.
\nA significant crisis is also unfolding on the other side of the English Channel. As he nears the end of his second presidential term, French President Emmanuel Macron increasingly resembles a lame duck. Yet another \u201cfronde\u201d instigated by the leftists and rightists culminated in the resignation of Prime Minister Fran\u00e7ois Bayrou on September 9, 2025.
\nBayrou became the fifth head of government to step down prematurely in the past four years. By appointing his close ally, S\u00e9bastien Lecornu, as the new prime minister, Macron highlighted a key trend among leaders of the \u201cglobal minority\u201d: they seek to drown out internal political crises through economic militarization and heightened foreign policy engagement.<\/p>\n
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Fyodor Lukyanov: France is only the front line in a crisis gripping the G7<\/p>\n
This explains France\u2019s prominent role in discussions regarding security guarantees for Ukraine, as well as Britain\u2019s \u201cdiplomatic mission\u201d to Ukraine that included Prince Harry, who is seeking to reset his relationship with the royal family, the newly appointed Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper, and even former Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who had undermined peace talks in Ukraine back in April 2022. His call to stop \u201cholding a\u00a0gun\u00a0to\u00a0Ukraine\u2019s head\u201d (the metaphor he used to urge Russia to withdraw its troops from Kiev region) led to Ukraine\u2019s withdrawal from negotiations with Russia and Zelensky\u2019s self-imposed ban on talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
\nUltimately, the strategy of political radicalization can explain why recent events in Poland, Qatar, and Nepal have become symbols of the \u201cartillery bombardment\u201d of the peaceful plans of the Trump administration, Russia, China, and many countries of the \u2018global majority\u2019. Donald Tusk, Poland\u2019s longest-serving prime minister who is rapidly losing popularity, was in desperate need of a \u2018casus belli\u2019 in the form of drones of uncertain origin that entered Polish territory, particularly after Karol Nawrocki, who was hesitant to get involved in the Ukraine conflict, was elected president of Poland.
\nOn a similar note, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel\u2019s long-time prime minister whose popularity is plummeting due to failures in the fight against Hamas, found no better solution than to launch a full-scale operation in Gaza, starting with a strike on the group\u2019s headquarters in Doha.
\nWhile the Israeli attack on Doha may still be quelled by \u201cthe main peacemaker\u201d of modern diplomacy, Donald Trump, who aims to preserve Qatar as a key platform for negotiations in the region, images of the burning Singha Durbar palace in Kathmandu (Nepal) will serve as a stark reminder of the dire consequences that can arise from heated political battles between the minority and the majority.
\nMoreover, one might question whether it\u2019s merely a coincidence that these events unfolded in a country strategically positioned between China and India. Both Chinese leader Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi have opted to resolve their differences not through saber-rattling but rather by relying on diplomacy, which remains our last hope in an increasingly harsh world fraught with asymmetric conflicts.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The \u2018global majority\u2019 is rewriting the rules of diplomacy \u2013 and the West\u2019s monopoly on power is over In economics and sociology, there\u2019s a well-known observation called the Pareto Principle.…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18466,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[4,6,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18465","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","category-environment","category-politics"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t